If MINCEMEAT has survived this long with the grosses and cast size it has, TWO STRANGERS should be just fine. If anything, it’s going to be a matter of finding replacements. It’s a good time to be a quirky British musical with low overhead.
That CATS number thrills me as much as it makes me sad. I’m almost certain if they took it to Labor Day and gave it more of a runway to close, it probably would’ve been doing this kind of business for the rest of the summer. The problem was just that they had absolutely no money left in the till to keep it running any longer. I am furious…but I am sailing.
I don’t see Schmigadoon going past January. Their biggest star is Ana Gasteyer and she leaves in September. Of the shows to win Best Musical, it was certainly a milquetoast one that doesn’t really have much to offer in terms of multiple viewings. Rocky Horror isn’t going to pack it in before Halloween and I think their numbers will go up when the spooky season comes around, leading into holiday tourism. LOST BOYS is a wild card because it has a fan base built in - the same ones as THE OUTSIDERS - but LB is a MUCH larger show and so they may not have the financial legs to dip too much too often.
Honestly, it’s so hard to predict anymore because there is no semblance of consistency when it comes to closings anymore, Some producers have endless cash flow to piss away, while others are gambling week to week. The Shuberts seem more keen on invoking their stop clauses as opposed to the Nederlanders as of late.
Also, here’s a sad fact - On 9/27, Flea Market Sunday, only 3 of the 10 theatres between 44th/45th and Shubert Alley will have an actively running show.
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